- October 2019 Monthly Dividend of $0.08 Per Share
- Estimated Book Value Per Share as of September 30, 2019 of $6.22
- Estimated GAAP net loss of $0.14 per share for the quarter ended September 30, 2019, including an estimated $0.32 per share of net realized and unrealized losses on RMBS and derivative instruments
- Estimated (2.6)% total return on equity for the quarter
- Estimated 1.5% total return for the nine months ended September 30, 2019, or 1.9% annualized
- Estimated book value, net loss and total return on equity amounts are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm
- RMBS Portfolio Characteristics as of September 30, 2019
- Next Dividend Announcement Expected November 13, 2019
VERO BEACH, Fla., Oct. 17, 2019 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (the “Company”) (NYSE:ORC) announced today that the Board of Directors (the “Board”) declared a monthly cash dividend for the month of October 2019. The dividend of $0.08 per share will be paid November 29, 2019 to holders of record on October 31, 2019, with an ex-dividend date of October 30, 2019. The Company plans on announcing its next dividend after the Board’s meeting on November 13, 2019.
The Company intends to make regular monthly cash distributions to its stockholders. In order to qualify as a real estate investment trust (“REIT”), the Company must distribute annually to its stockholders an amount at least equal to 90% of its REIT taxable income, determined without regard to the deduction for dividends paid and excluding any net capital gain. The Company will be subject to income tax on taxable income that is not distributed and to an excise tax to the extent that a certain percentage of its taxable income is not distributed by specified dates. The Company has not established a minimum distribution payment level and is not assured of its ability to make distributions to stockholders in the future.
As of October 17, 2019, the Company had 63,058,449 shares outstanding. At June 30, 2019, the Company had 54,282,997 shares outstanding.
Estimated September 30, 2019 Book Value Per Share
The Company’s estimated book value per share as of September 30, 2019 was $6.22. The Company computes book value per share by dividing total stockholders’ equity by the total number of outstanding shares of common stock. At September 30, 2019, the Company’s preliminary estimated total stockholders’ equity was approximately $392.0 million with 63,058,449 shares of common stock outstanding. These figures and the resulting estimated book value per share are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm.
Estimated Net Income Per Share and Realized and Unrealized Gains and Losses on RMBS and Derivative Instruments
The Company estimates it generated net loss per share of $0.14, which includes $0.32 per share of net realized and unrealized losses on RMBS and derivative instruments for the quarter ended September 30, 2019. These amounts compare to total dividends declared during the quarter of $0.24 per share. Net income per common share calculated under generally accepted accounting principles can, and does, differ from our REIT taxable income. The Company views REIT taxable income as a better indication of income to be paid in the form of a dividend rather than net income. Many components of REIT taxable income can only be estimated at this time and our monthly dividends declared are based on both estimates of REIT taxable income to be earned over the course of the current quarter and calendar year and a longer-term estimate of the REIT taxable income of the Company. These figures are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm.
Estimated Total Return on Equity
The Company’s estimated total return on equity for the quarter ended September 30, 2019 was (2.6)%. The Company calculates total return on equity as the sum of dividends declared and paid during the quarter plus changes in book value during the quarter, divided by the Company’s stockholders’ equity at the beginning of the quarter. The total return was $(0.17) per share, comprised of dividends per share of $0.24 and a decrease in book value per share of $0.41 from June 30, 2019.
RMBS Portfolio Characteristics
Details of the RMBS portfolio as of September 30, 2019 are presented below. These figures are preliminary and subject to change and, with respect to figures that will appear in the Company’s financial statements and associated footnotes as of and for the quarter ended September 30, 2019, are subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm.
- RMBS Valuation Characteristics
- RMBS Assets by Agency
- Investment Company Act of 1940 Whole Pool Test Results
- Repurchase Agreement Exposure by Counterparty
- RMBS Risk Measures
About Orchid Island Capital, Inc.
Orchid Island Capital, Inc. is a specialty finance company that invests in Agency RMBS that are either traditional pass-through Agency RMBS or structured Agency RMBS. Orchid Island Capital, Inc. has elected to be taxed as a REIT for federal income tax purposes.
Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other federal securities laws. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements about the Company’s distributions. These forward-looking statements are based upon Orchid Island Capital, Inc.’s present expectations, but these statements are not guaranteed to occur. Investors should not place undue reliance upon forward-looking statements. For further discussion of the factors that could affect outcomes, please refer to the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2018.
| RMBS Valuation Characteristics | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ($ in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Realized | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sep 2019 | Realized | Modeled | Modeled | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Net | Weighted | CPR | 2019 CPR | Interest | Interest | |||||||||||||||||||
| % | Weighted | Average | (1-Month) | (3-Month) | Rate | Rate | ||||||||||||||||||
| Current | Fair | of | Current | Average | Maturity | (Reported | (Reported | Sensitivity | Sensitivity | |||||||||||||||
| Type | Face | Value | Portfolio | Price | Coupon | GWAC | Age | (Months) | in Oct) | in Oct) | (-50 BPS)(1) | (+50 BPS)(1) | ||||||||||||
| Pass Through RMBS | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Post Reset ARM | $ | 1,115 | $ | 1,183 | 0.03 | % | $ | 106.11 | 4.52 | % | 4.91 | % | 181 | 180 | – | – | $ | 6 | $ | (6 | ) | |||
| Fixed Rate CMO | 584,756 | 604,861 | 15.83 | % | 103.44 | 4.25 | % | 4.59 | % | 21 | 336 | 32.28 | % | 26.33 | % | 4 | (483 | ) | ||||||
| 15yr 4.0 | 375,996 | 403,040 | 10.55 | % | 107.19 | 4.00 | % | 4.53 | % | 16 | 160 | 12.06 | % | 12.19 | % | 6,103 | (6,563 | ) | ||||||
| 15yr Total | 375,996 | 403,040 | 10.55 | % | 107.19 | 4.00 | % | 4.53 | % | 16 | 160 | 12.06 | % | 12.19 | % | 6,103 | (6,563 | ) | ||||||
| 20yr 4.0 | 83,006 | 89,633 | 2.35 | % | 107.98 | 4.00 | % | 4.48 | % | 26 | 210 | 13.17 | % | 10.73 | % | 1,706 | (1,819 | ) | ||||||
| 20yr Total | 83,006 | 89,633 | 2.35 | % | 107.98 | 4.00 | % | 4.48 | % | 26 | 210 | 13.17 | % | 10.73 | % | 1,706 | (1,819 | ) | ||||||
| 30yr 3.0 | 161,459 | 164,977 | 4.32 | % | 102.18 | 3.00 | % | 3.95 | % | 3 | 356 | 3.93 | % | – | 2,733 | (3,755 | ) | |||||||
| 30yr 3.5 | 335,389 | 348,499 | 9.12 | % | 103.91 | 3.50 | % | 4.33 | % | 7 | 352 | 6.80 | % | 5.22 | % | 3,763 | (5,649 | ) | ||||||
| 30yr 4.0 | 786,933 | 834,505 | 21.84 | % | 106.05 | 4.00 | % | 4.64 | % | 17 | 341 | 18.55 | % | 11.79 | % | 9,113 | (12,655 | ) | ||||||
| 30yr 4.5 | 425,777 | 461,255 | 12.07 | % | 108.33 | 4.50 | % | 5.05 | % | 9 | 350 | 11.10 | % | 20.31 | % | 3,862 | (5,580 | ) | ||||||
| 30yr 5.0 | 734,375 | 808,738 | 21.17 | % | 110.13 | 5.00 | % | 5.52 | % | 16 | 342 | 16.08 | % | 16.65 | % | 7,023 | (9,300 | ) | ||||||
| 30yr Total | 2,443,933 | 2,617,974 | 68.52 | % | 107.12 | 4.25 | % | 4.89 | % | 13 | 345 | 13.93 | % | 13.08 | % | 26,494 | (36,939 | ) | ||||||
| Total Pass Through RMBS | 3,488,806 | 3,716,691 | 97.27 | % | 106.53 | 4.22 | % | 4.79 | % | 15 | 320 | 16.78 | % | 15.51 | % | 34,313 | (45,810 | ) | ||||||
| Structured RMBS | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Interest-Only Securities | 718,260 | 79,034 | 2.07 | % | 11.00 | 3.76 | % | 4.35 | % | 69 | 248 | 21.38 | % | 20.24 | % | (9,325 | ) | 10,681 | ||||||
| Inverse Interest-Only Securities | 197,834 | 25,193 | 0.66 | % | 12.73 | 3.08 | % | 4.86 | % | 63 | 288 | 13.14 | % | 16.10 | % | 1,103 | (1,813 | ) | ||||||
| Total Structured RMBS | 916,094 | 104,227 | 2.73 | % | 11.38 | 3.61 | % | 4.46 | % | 67 | 257 | 19.60 | % | 19.35 | % | (8,222 | ) | 8,868 | ||||||
| Total Mortgage Assets | $ | 4,404,900 | $ | 3,820,918 | 100.00 | % | 4.09 | % | 4.72 | % | 26 | 307 | 17.37 | % | 16.42 | % | $ | 26,091 | $ | (36,942 | ) | |||
| Interest | Interest | ||||||||||||||||||
| Average | Hedge | Rate | Rate | ||||||||||||||||
| Notional | Period | Sensitivity | Sensitivity | ||||||||||||||||
| Hedge | Balance | End | (-50 BPS)(1) | (+50 BPS)(1) | |||||||||||||||
| Eurodollar Futures | $ | (500,000 | ) | Jun-2020 | $ | (3,125 | ) | $ | 3,125 | ||||||||||
| Fed Funds Futures | (400,000 | ) | Dec-2019 | (1,167 | ) | 1,167 | |||||||||||||
| Swaps | (2,120,000 | ) | May-2022 | (29,579 | ) | 29,579 | |||||||||||||
| 5-Year Treasury Future | (140,000 | ) | Dec-2019(2) | (4,438 | ) | 3,488 | |||||||||||||
| Hedge Total | $ | (3,160,000 | ) | $ | (38,309 | ) | $ | 37,359 | |||||||||||
| Rate Shock Grand Total | $ | (12,218 | ) | $ | 417 | ||||||||||||||
- Modeled results from Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Yield Book. Interest rate shocks assume instantaneous parallel shifts and horizon prices are calculated assuming constant LIBOR option-adjusted spreads. These results are for illustrative purposes only and actual results may differ materially.
- Five year treasury futures contracts were valued at prices of $119.1 at September 30, 2019. The notional contract value of the short position was $166.7 million.
| RMBS Assets by Agency | Investment Company Act of 1940 Whole Pool Test | |||||||||
| ($ in thousands) | ($ in thousands) | |||||||||
| Percentage | Percentage | |||||||||
| Fair | of | Fair | of | |||||||
| Asset Category | Value | Portfolio | Asset Category | Value | Portfolio | |||||
| As of September 30, 2019 | As of September 30, 2019 | |||||||||
| Fannie Mae | $ | 2,755,540 | 72.1 | % | Non-Whole Pool Assets | $ | 882,455 | 23.1 | % | |
| Freddie Mac | 1,062,096 | 27.8 | % | Whole Pool Assets | 2,938,463 | 76.9 | % | |||
| Ginnie Mae | 2,482 | 0.1 | % | Total Mortgage Assets | $ | 3,820,918 | 100.0 | % | ||
| Total Mortgage Assets | $ | 3,820,918 | 100.0 | % | ||||||
| Borrowings By Counterparty | ||||||||||
| ($ in thousands) | ||||||||||
| Weighted | Weighted | |||||||||
| % of | Average | Average | ||||||||
| Total | Total | Repo | Maturity | Longest | ||||||
| As of September 30, 2019 | Borrowings | Debt | Rate | in Days | Maturity | |||||
| J.P. Morgan Securities LLC | $ | 446,537 | 11.71 | % | 2.41 | % | 56 | 12/12/2019 | ||
| RBC Capital Markets, LLC | 423,714 | 11.11 | % | 2.37 | % | 34 | 12/12/2019 | |||
| Mirae Asset Securities (USA) Inc. | 410,078 | 10.75 | % | 2.45 | % | 45 | 2/13/2020 | |||
| Wells Fargo Bank, N.A. | 351,571 | 9.22 | % | 2.31 | % | 12 | 10/21/2019 | |||
| Citigroup Global Markets Inc | 234,844 | 6.16 | % | 2.29 | % | 18 | 12/16/2019 | |||
| Mitsubishi UFJ Securities (USA), Inc | 227,408 | 5.96 | % | 2.46 | % | 38 | 12/16/2019 | |||
| ASL Capital Markets Inc. | 222,485 | 5.82 | % | 2.37 | % | 17 | 10/31/2019 | |||
| Cantor Fitzgerald & Co | 211,276 | 5.54 | % | 2.20 | % | 36 | 11/18/2019 | |||
| ABN AMRO Bank N.V. | 211,218 | 5.54 | % | 2.35 | % | 9 | 10/15/2019 | |||
| ED&F Man Capital Markets Inc | 205,197 | 5.38 | % | 2.28 | % | 65 | 2/10/2020 | |||
| South Street Securities, LLC | 175,095 | 4.59 | % | 2.51 | % | 135 | 4/9/2020 | |||
| ING Financial Markets LLC | 162,442 | 4.26 | % | 2.28 | % | 20 | 10/30/2019 | |||
| ICBC Financial Services LLC | 103,548 | 2.72 | % | 2.32 | % | 15 | 10/15/2019 | |||
| Guggenheim Securities, LLC | 91,614 | 2.40 | % | 2.30 | % | 21 | 10/30/2019 | |||
| FHLB-Cincinnati | 79,850 | 2.09 | % | 2.55 | % | 1 | 10/1/2019 | |||
| Nomura Securities International, Inc. | 49,381 | 1.29 | % | 2.28 | % | 15 | 10/15/2019 | |||
| Daiwa Securities America Inc. | 48,255 | 1.27 | % | 2.28 | % | 11 | 10/11/2019 | |||
| Lucid Cash Fund USG LLC | 46,947 | 1.23 | % | 2.31 | % | 17 | 10/17/2019 | |||
| Bank of Montreal | 40,897 | 1.07 | % | 2.33 | % | 17 | 10/28/2019 | |||
| J.V.B. Financial Group, LLC | 28,515 | 0.75 | % | 2.24 | % | 39 | 12/17/2019 | |||
| Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith | 26,126 | 0.69 | % | 2.40 | % | 8 | 10/11/2019 | |||
| Lucid Prime Fund, LLC | 13,421 | 0.35 | % | 2.35 | % | 17 | 10/17/2019 | |||
| Mizuho Securities USA, Inc | 3,558 | 0.09 | % | 2.58 | % | 15 | 10/15/2019 | |||
| Total Borrowings | $ | 3,813,977 | 100.0 | % | 2.36 | % | 36 | 4/9/2020 | ||
Contact:
Orchid Island Capital, Inc.
Robert E. Cauley
3305 Flamingo Drive, Vero Beach, Florida 32963
Telephone: (772) 231-1400